Small Portfolio Changes Don’t Matter

The investment product landscape is like the supplement industry. Supplement companies don’t make money if you sleep eight hours a night, only drink water, and avoid junk food. Fund providers don’t make money if you stick to low-cost index funds. We’re inundated with products promising an edge, either for our health or finances. In investing,…

Book Summary of Superforecasting

Jazon Zweig said Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner is “the most important book on decision making since Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow”. Tetlock co-created The Good Judgement Project (GJP) which participated in a forecasting tournament held by IARPA, a U.S. government organization. IARPA supports research that has the potential to revolutionize intelligence analysis.…

Book Summary of Taleb’s Antifragile

Nassim Taleb is a polarizing guy. He gets in Twitter fights, eats a lot of squid ink pasta, but also has many fans. I enjoy his writing and, among all his books, think Antifragile is the most complete description of his philosophy on life and markets. Here are my main takeaways: The opposite of fragility…